Who recommended Superforecasting?

10 people have recommended Superforecasting in the interviews, articles and reading lists we track, including Michael Mauboussin, Shane Parrish, Alexis Ohanian and Anthony Pompliano. Each name links to their full reading list.

Is Superforecasting worth reading?

10 people we track recommend it. It is best for: A product manager in a tech company who needs to estimate launch timelines and feature adoption rates, and wants a systematic way to improve accuracy without relying on gut feel alone.; An investor or financial analyst tired of punditry who wants a rigorous approach to assigning probabilities to market events.; A policy advisor who must weigh uncertain geopolitical risks and needs tools to communicate probabilities clearly to decision-makers.. It may not suit: You'll likely put it down when the book dives deep into Brier scores and calibration metrics, making it feel more like a statistics textbook than a decision-making guide.; Not for you if you want a collection of inspiring anecdotes; the book prioritizes method over motivation and can come off as dryly academic.; Skip if you're looking for immediate shortcuts; it requires patient engagement with complex ideas and a willingness to scrutinize your own thinking..

What books are like Superforecasting?

Readers of Superforecasting also turn to The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse, The World as It Is and Out of Control, based on the lists and recommenders these books share.

Superforecasting: Recommended by 10 People

Name: Superforecasting
Author: Philip E. Tetlock

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply...