Global Catastrophes and Trends
The Next 50 Years
by Vaclav Smil
Recommended by Bill Gates and Mike Shellenberger
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Should I read this?
Recommended by 3 sources and appears in Most Recommended Books, Science, and Nonfiction.
A wideranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty yearswhether sudden and cataclysmic worldchanging events or gradually unfolding trends.Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a "fatal discontinuity," a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent,...
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Why recommended
Recommended by 3 sources and appears in Most Recommended Books, Science, and Nonfiction.
Recommended by notable people
People and public figures who have recommended this book.
Recommendation Signals
Recommendation proof is sourced from public posts, interviews, reading lists, and cited references.
Mike Shellenberger
“@RogerPielkeJr What about the risk of climate catastrophe from crossing tipping points The best book on the subject ranked climate catastrophe risk lowest in terms of fatalities & probabilities compared to other risks eg wars, disease, volcanoes, tsunamis, asteroids”
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“Accidental Presidents offers eight narrative portraits of men who succeeded to the U.S. presidency without election, using anecdote-rich scenes and readable context to show how personality and circumstance interact with office power. It’s strongest as a set of self-contained stories that make succession stakes concrete for non-specialist readers; it does not prioritize dense archival argument or exhaustive methodology, so expect some interpretive generalizations and repeated themes across cases. Use it for fast historical orientation rather than scholarly deep-dives.”
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Each recommendation is collected from a public source — interviews, articles, or curated lists — and linked to its original URL. Books with many verifiable recommendations from respected people rank higher.
Global Catastrophes and Trends
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